Click on the analyses in the outline below to open sections of the Monopoly Politics 2014 report in PDF.

Part 1: The Power of Monopoly Politics

• Monopoly Politics & the 2014 Horserace: The Fight for a House Majority, Vulnerable Incumbents, and Open Seats
• The Dominance of Partisanship in Winner-Take-All House Elections
• The Rise of Safe Seats: The Relative Impact of Redistricting and “The Big Sort”
• Partisanship Trumps Campaign Spending in Congressional Elections
• Districts on the Move: Exceptions to the Rule of Partisanship Consistency

Part 2: The Problems of Monopoly Politics

• Partisan Bias in the U.S. House: The Republican Advantage from Demographics, Partisanship, Incumbency, and Gerrymandering
• The Polarization Crisis: The Decline of Crossover Representatives and Crossover Voting
• Winner-Take-All in the South: The Great Southern Partisan Reversal, 1991-2013

Part 3: The Solution to Monopoly Politics

• Extending the Sphere of Representation: The Impact of Fair Representation Voting on the Ideological Spectrum of Congress
• Electing Candidates with Fair Representation Voting: Ranked Choice Voting and Other Methods
• Enhancing African American Voting Rights in the South with Fair Representation Voting
• Model Fair Representation Voting Act

Appendices

• Methodology
• Literature Review
• Bibliography
• Projections, partisanship, and other data for all 435 districts

Our Projections

2014 Projections (released November 6, 2013): | View Online

Monopoly Politics in Your State

Click on your state to find out how uncompetitive your U.S. House election was in 2014.