Michigan's Changes to the Electoral College as Applied on a National Scale
Claire Daviss
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As announced yesterday, Michigan State Rep. Pete Lund announced a plan to change the way that Michigan allocates its Electoral College votes during presidential elections . The plan is distinct from other plans we have analyzed before. FairVote’s initial analysis reveals that Michigan’s plan, if applied nationwide, would have led to Obama winning a total of 287 electoral votes and Romney winning a total of 251 electoral votes in 2012.Additional findings include:
- If applied nationwide, a total of 78 electoral votes could be labeled as swing electoral votes.
- If applied nationwide, 24 states would remain without any swing electoral votes.
- Michigan would have awarded 12 electoral votes to Obama and 4 electoral votes to Romney in 2012.
- Given the partisanship of Michigan, Michigan would have had 4 swing electoral votes in the 2012 elections.
We will release a full spreadsheet of our initial results shortly.
Originally posted November 14, and updated November 18, 2014, using the legislation’s explanation of the formula for allocating electoral votes . Our original analysis was based on statewide votes, rather than the statewide vote for the top two candidates.
