D: 36,538,605R: 33,452,888I: 1,652,436

These are preliminary totals that do not include results from some 52 uncontested races, 43 of which were Democratic victories. When we have those numbers, we can expect a quite higher total for Democrats.

The two-party vote split (thus far, missing all those uncontested votes) is 52.2% to 47.8%.

As a very rough estimate, we’d be adding about 3.5 million more votes to the D column and about 740,000 to the R column.

As for the two-party vote: for now, including estimates for the uncontested races, it’s somewhere around 54% to 46%.

This is based on [(average district turnout/2) x uncontested races per party]. The average district turnout was 164,699, based on preliminary results. I somewhat arbitrarily halved that number, given turnout will be quite low in these districts – unless a hot Senate race or something contentious down-ticket could bring out voters.

Stay tuned for the releases of Dubious Democracy , in which we analyze the competitiveness of the election and accuracy of resulting representation, and Monopoly Politics 2008 , in which we’ll predict the outcomes of over 340 U.S. House races… for 2008!